Set-release curves

Name: Star Wars: Unlimited set-release price curves
Creator: InkSight
License: https://inksighttcg.com/terms.html

What SWU sets have actually done after release: the median ask-first price of each set's cards plotted against days since its release date, split by rarity tier, from InkSight's own stored daily TCGplayer snapshots. This page describes recorded history for whole pools of cards. It contains no forecasts and no per-card projections.

Ashes of the Empire — recorded release arc

Only one SWU set has a full-window baseline in the recorded history, so these figures name that set instead of claiming a cross-set typical arc.

Ashes of the Empire whole tracked pool by T+7

−50.0%

Median ask-first price of Ashes of the Empire's whole tracked pool on day 7 after release vs its own T+0 baseline, confidence-gated, n=603 cards — InkSight
Ashes of the Empire whole tracked pool by T+21

−61.0%

Median ask-first price of Ashes of the Empire's whole tracked pool on day 21 after release vs its own T+0 baseline, confidence-gated, n=606 cards — InkSight
Ashes of the Empire chase tier by T+7

−46.9%

Median ask-first price of Ashes of the Empire's chase tier on day 7 after release vs its own T+0 baseline, confidence-gated, n=123 cards — InkSight
Ashes of the Empire chase tier by T+21

−55.5%

Median ask-first price of Ashes of the Empire's chase tier on day 21 after release vs its own T+0 baseline, confidence-gated, n=123 cards — InkSight

How to read these charts

Basis: ask-first — the lowest ask when one is recorded, otherwise the TCGplayer Market Price, the same basis card pages quote.
Statistic: median, never mean, so one chase card cannot carry a set.
Confidence gate: only verified and moderate rows; thin, outlier and presale rows are excluded.
Every chart day publishes n. Days measuring fewer than 20 cards are suppressed, not smoothed.
Each tier is indexed to its own first recorded day, which is printed above the chart.
Sealed is one product's Booster Box ask (n = one product) and is never blended into the card medians.

Window: T+0 to T+120. Recorded snapshot history for SWU: 2026-07-13 to 2026-08-25. Library baked 2026-08-25. Machine-readable copy: set-curves.json

Qualifying sets (1)

One chart per set with at least 21 recorded snapshot days since release. The dashed line, where present, is this game's typical arc across sets.

Ashes of the Empire

Released 2026-07-17 · 40 recorded snapshot days · window T+0–T+39 · indexed to T+0

All tracked cards $1.00 → $0.37 (−63.0%, n=610)
Chase tier $9.99 → $4.25 (−57.5%, n=125)
Mid tier $2.92 → $0.90 (−69.2%, n=188)
Bulk tier $0.25 → $0.10 (−60.0%, n=297)
Sealed booster box (ask) $200.00 → $255.29 (+27.6%, one product)

Ashes of the Empire's chase tier fell 57.5% in the first 39 days after release — median ask-first, $9.99 to $4.25, n=125 conf-gated cards on the last recorded day. Only one SWU set currently has a full-window baseline, so InkSight publishes no cross-set typical arc for this game yet.

Show the numbers behind this chart (40 recorded days)

Median ask-first price per recorded day. Days with fewer than 20 eligible cards are omitted, never interpolated.
Day	All tracked cards	Chase tier	Mid tier	Bulk tier	Sealed booster box (ask)
T+0	$1.00 n=591	$9.99 n=121	$2.92 n=186	$0.25 n=284	—
T+1	$0.95 n=600	$8.00 n=121	$2.29 n=186	$0.20 n=293	—
T+2	$0.84 n=602	$7.35 n=122	$1.99 n=186	$0.20 n=294	—
T+3	$0.81 n=603	$6.32 n=123	$1.73 n=186	$0.18 n=294	—
T+4	$0.77 n=602	$4.89 n=122	$1.50 n=186	$0.16 n=294	—
T+5	$0.55 n=603	$4.85 n=122	$1.37 n=186	$0.16 n=295	—
T+6	$0.51 n=604	$5.00 n=123	$1.24 n=187	$0.15 n=294	—
T+7	$0.50 n=603	$5.30 n=123	$1.10 n=186	$0.15 n=294	—
T+8	$0.49 n=603	$5.00 n=123	$1.17 n=187	$0.15 n=293	—
T+9	$0.49 n=605	$5.00 n=123	$1.10 n=187	$0.15 n=295	—
T+10	$0.49 n=603	$5.00 n=123	$1.09 n=186	$0.15 n=294	—
T+11	$0.46 n=603	$4.79 n=123	$1.04 n=186	$0.13 n=294	—
T+12	$0.40 n=605	$4.97 n=123	$1.00 n=188	$0.10 n=294	—
T+13	$0.41 n=602	$4.50 n=121	$1.00 n=188	$0.10 n=293	—
T+14	$0.42 n=604	$4.50 n=122	$0.99 n=188	$0.10 n=294	—
T+15	$0.42 n=604	$4.35 n=122	$1.00 n=188	$0.10 n=294	—
T+16	$0.40 n=602	$4.27 n=121	$0.99 n=188	$0.10 n=293	—
T+17	$0.40 n=605	$4.06 n=122	$0.99 n=188	$0.10 n=295	—
T+18	$0.40 n=603	$3.89 n=121	$0.99 n=187	$0.10 n=295	—
T+19	$0.39 n=606	$3.97 n=123	$0.99 n=187	$0.10 n=296	—
T+20	$0.38 n=605	$4.09 n=123	$0.99 n=187	$0.10 n=295	—
T+21	$0.39 n=606	$4.45 n=123	$1.00 n=188	$0.10 n=295	—
T+22	$0.39 n=606	$4.15 n=123	$1.00 n=188	$0.10 n=295	—
T+23	$0.39 n=606	$4.50 n=123	$0.99 n=188	$0.10 n=295	—
T+24	$0.39 n=606	$3.92 n=122	$0.97 n=188	$0.10 n=296	—
T+25	$0.39 n=607	$4.00 n=123	$0.98 n=188	$0.10 n=296	—
T+26	$0.39 n=607	$4.00 n=123	$0.98 n=188	$0.10 n=296	—
T+27	$0.39 n=608	$3.99 n=123	$0.97 n=188	$0.10 n=297	—
T+28	$0.39 n=609	$4.00 n=124	$0.96 n=188	$0.10 n=297	—
T+29	$0.39 n=609	$4.00 n=124	$0.96 n=188	$0.10 n=297	—
T+30	$0.39 n=609	$3.97 n=124	$0.95 n=188	$0.10 n=297	—
T+31	$0.40 n=610	$4.00 n=125	$0.92 n=188	$0.10 n=297	—
T+32	$0.39 n=609	$4.10 n=124	$0.96 n=188	$0.10 n=297	$200.00
T+33	$0.39 n=609	$4.00 n=124	$0.96 n=188	$0.10 n=297	$200.00
T+34	$0.39 n=609	$4.17 n=124	$0.95 n=188	$0.10 n=297	$200.00
T+35	$0.39 n=608	$4.16 n=124	$0.94 n=188	$0.10 n=296	$240.15
T+36	$0.39 n=608	$4.25 n=124	$0.97 n=187	$0.10 n=297	$229.98
T+37	$0.39 n=609	$4.25 n=124	$0.98 n=188	$0.10 n=297	$229.98
T+38	$0.39 n=610	$4.09 n=125	$0.97 n=188	$0.10 n=297	$229.98
T+39	$0.37 n=610	$4.25 n=125	$0.90 n=188	$0.10 n=297	$255.29

Set page →

Typical arc for Star Wars: Unlimited

The median ask-first path of the one qualifying set, indexed to its release day. With a single contributing set this is that set’s path, not yet a typical one, and it is labelled as such everywhere it appears.

Sets measured: Ashes of the Empire. Days with no recorded snapshot are shown as not recorded, never interpolated.
Day since release	Median move	Sets measured
T+7	−50.0%	1
T+14	−58.0%	1
T+21	−61.0%	1
T+30	−61.0%	1
T+60	not recorded yet	—
T+90	not recorded yet	—

By tier at the latest common day — chase: −57.5% at T+39 (1 set) · mid: −69.2% at T+39 (1 set) · bulk: −60.0% at T+39 (1 set).

Sets InkSight does not publish a curve for

A set needs 21 recorded snapshot days since its release date, and at least 20 confidence-gated cards on a day, before that day is published. Everything below fails one of those tests today. Nothing here is estimated to fill the gap.

Set	Released	Recorded days	Why it is not published
A Lawless Time	2026-03-13	44	every day inside T+0…T+120 measured fewer than 20 eligible cards
Jump to Lightspeed	2025-03-14	44	every day inside T+0…T+120 measured fewer than 20 eligible cards
Legends of the Force	2025-07-11	44	every day inside T+0…T+120 measured fewer than 20 eligible cards
Secrets of Power	2025-11-07	44	every day inside T+0…T+120 measured fewer than 20 eligible cards
Shadows of the Galaxy	2024-07-12	44	every day inside T+0…T+120 measured fewer than 20 eligible cards
Spark of Rebellion	2024-03-08	44	every day inside T+0…T+120 measured fewer than 20 eligible cards
Twilight of the Republic	2024-11-08	44	every day inside T+0…T+120 measured fewer than 20 eligible cards

Method, and what this page will not do

Every point is computed from public.price_history, InkSight's own daily record of TCGplayer asks and Market Prices, joined to the same confidence tiers the card pages show. Snapshots taken before a set's release date are excluded outright, so a release-day flip cannot manufacture a collapse. Days with no snapshot are absent rather than carried forward.

Aggregate context is honest: a pool of hundreds of cards has a measurable central path. A single card does not, so this page never projects one, never fits a trend past the last recorded day, and never states what a price will do. Release dates come from InkSight's canonical set-release map.

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